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That's it for 2007-2008!

by tonyhedges @ 08 Mar. 2008 - 09:47:14 pm

Football may well have usurped cricket as the UK's favourite sport, but in one respect it still is second-best and that is to all hose that love statistics; or is it? As a Norwich City supporter, I am used to wondering 'whatif's' or 'what-could-have-been's'. Optimism is something that Norwich City fan's are well aware of. We all suffer from its effects, we even get carried away by it, even though we know it is happening.

This current football season is a perfect example of what it is like to be a Norwich City fan. Our manager is sacked after 10 games in charge (at which point we are 9 points adrift at the foot of the Championship table). After 3 games with a caretaker manager (and 3 losses) in comes Glenn Roeder and after a short period to find his best team, we go on a 13 match unbeaten run!

Today Norwich City lost away to Coventry by a solitary goal and I come to the conclusion, with 11 games left, that the interest in this season is now over. You see I have been doing my impersonation of a cricket statistician, running the numbers, doing calculations and for now, us Norwich City fans have to be grateful for a mid-table finish this season.

Under Peter Grant (sacked after ten games) we would have been relegated to League One, a fate no-one would care to contemplate. But it is interesting to note that if you said, 'what would have happened if Roeder had been in charge all season?' I worked out City's record under Roeder and then worked out the average points per game and multiplied this by 46 (the number of games in the Championship per season) and the result was we would not have gotten us into the playoffs. This is an unfair conclusion though, because as we know, there are two things we are not taking into account. 1, Mr Roeder came in when the seaon was unway, 2, he inherited a team of players that were losing matches extraordinarily easily. He had to turn them around, shake them up and get them back to winning ways. Taking all this into consideration, I predict Norwich will end up with about 73 points.

Next season should be just as interesting. The board of Norwich City have said that they will back Mr Roeder and will provide him with funds to rebuild the team in the summer. So good luck to Mr Roeder, as a faithful Norwich City season ticket holder, I hope you get the players you want. Time will tell. 


 
 

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